Club Kid
Opens Nov 6, 2026
Nov 6
Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.
- Budget
- $3.0M–$9.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Opening forecast
- $100K–$450K
- ReelMatrix estimate Limited opening, then expanding
- Domestic total forecast
- $3.0M–$8.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Needs to make (est.)
- $5.5M–$20.8M
- ReelMatrix estimate
About the film
A New York club promoter (Jordan Firstman, also directing) lives for the party, until the 10-year-old son he never knew about turns up on his doorstep.
Show the math
Break-even
- Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
- $3.0M–$9.0M
- Marketing (estimated for a limited release)
- $600K–$4.5M
- Total cost
- $3.6M–$13.5M
- Studio's share of each ticket dollar
- 45¢
- Later: home, streaming and TV
- +20¢
- Break-even worldwide
- $5.5M–$20.8M
Total cost ÷ 65¢ per box office dollar. That's 1.8–2.3× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 50% from the US and Canada, typical for a specialty distributor.
Projection
Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($3.0M–$8.0M).
- Domestic finish
- ~$5.5M
- Worldwide finish
- ~$11.0M
Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 50%, until real international numbers come in.
Verdict: On the bubble. How verdicts work