Dune: Part Three

Warner Bros. · 2h 20m

Opens Dec 18, 2026

Dec 18

Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.

Budget
$190M–$220M
ReelMatrix estimate
Opening forecast
$100M–$130M
ReelMatrix estimate Dune: Part Two opened at $82.5M; IMAX presales for Part Three are reported well ahead
Needs to make (est.)
$475M–$688M
ReelMatrix estimate

About the film

Nearly twenty years into Paul Atreides' reign as emperor, old allies return, rebellion stirs and Paul (Timothée Chalamet) is pulled into a conspiracy while haunted by visions of the empire's fall. Denis Villeneuve's final chapter.

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
$190M–$220M
Marketing (estimated for a major studio)
$114M–$220M
Total cost
$304M–$440M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar
44¢
Later: home, streaming and TV
+20¢
Break-even worldwide
$475M–$688M

Total cost ÷ 64¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.5–3.1× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 40% from the US and Canada, typical for a major studio.

Projection

Before release, the projection takes the middle of its opening-weekend forecast ($115M) times 4.0×: 2.5× (typical for a wide release), raised for a Christmas release.

Domestic finish
~$460M
Worldwide finish
~$1.15B

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 40%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: Hit. How verdicts work

Sources

Budget (ReelMatrix estimate): Dune: Part Two cost $190M.

Forecasts (ReelMatrix estimate): Dune: Part Two opened at $82.5M; IMAX presales for Part Three are reported well ahead.

Budgets, grosses, break-even points and profits are estimates based on publicly reported numbers. They aren't official studio financials. Verdicts are ReelMatrix's opinion. How the numbers work