Elsinore

Focus Features

Opens Nov 20, 2026

Nov 20

Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.

Budget
$12.0M–$25.0M
ReelMatrix estimate
Opening forecast
$80K–$350K
ReelMatrix estimate Limited release
Domestic total forecast
$1.0M–$5.0M
ReelMatrix estimate
Needs to make (est.)
$22.2M–$57.7M
ReelMatrix estimate

About the film

The true story of actor Ian Charleson (Andrew Scott), who faced his own mortality with honesty and grace, and whose last great stage performance inspired everyone around him. With Olivia Colman.

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
$12.0M–$25.0M
Marketing (estimated for a limited release)
$2.4M–$12.5M
Total cost
$14.4M–$37.5M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar
45¢
Later: home, streaming and TV
+20¢
Break-even worldwide
$22.2M–$57.7M

Total cost ÷ 65¢ per box office dollar. That's 1.8–2.3× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 50% from the US and Canada, typical for a specialty distributor.

Projection

Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($1.0M–$5.0M).

Domestic finish
~$3.0M
Worldwide finish
~$6.0M

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 50%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: Bomb. How verdicts work

Sources

Budget (ReelMatrix estimate): Specialty drama.

Forecasts (ReelMatrix estimate): Limited release.

Budgets, grosses, break-even points and profits are estimates based on publicly reported numbers. They aren't official studio financials. Verdicts are ReelMatrix's opinion. How the numbers work