How to Rob a Bank
Opens Nov 13, 2026
Nov 13
Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.
- Budget
- $60.0M–$80.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Opening forecast
- $11.0M–$19.0M
- Box Office Theory, Oct 23
- Domestic total forecast
- $25.0M–$60.0M
- Needs to make (est.)
- $150M–$250M
- ReelMatrix estimate
About the film
A crew of bank robbers livestreams its heists and gets famous for it, until an FBI veteran and a gifted engineer close in and the crew bets everything on one last score. David Leitch directs Nicholas Hoult and Zoë Kravitz.
Show the math
Break-even
- Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
- $60.0M–$80.0M
- Marketing (estimated for a major studio)
- $36.0M–$80.0M
- Total cost
- $96.0M–$160M
- Studio's share of each ticket dollar
- 44¢
- Later: home, streaming and TV
- +20¢
- Break-even worldwide
- $150M–$250M
Total cost ÷ 64¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.5–3.1× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 40% from the US and Canada, typical for a major studio.
Projection
Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($25.0M–$60.0M).
- Domestic finish
- ~$42.5M
- Worldwide finish
- ~$106M
Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 40%, until real international numbers come in.
Verdict: Flop. How verdicts work