I Play Rocky
Opens Nov 6, 2026
Nov 6
Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.
- Budget
- $18.0M–$35.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Opening forecast
- $500K–$1.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate Box Office Theory, Oct 23 (limited opening; goes wide Nov 20). Domestic total: ReelMatrix estimate
- Domestic total forecast
- $15.0M–$35.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Needs to make (est.)
- $33.8M–$82.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
About the film
Before Rocky made him a star, Sylvester Stallone (Anthony Ippolito) was an unknown actor who refused to sell his script unless he could play the lead. Peter Farrelly directs the story of that bet.
Show the math
Break-even
- Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
- $18.0M–$35.0M
- Marketing (estimated for a limited release)
- $3.6M–$17.5M
- Total cost
- $21.6M–$52.5M
- Studio's share of each ticket dollar
- 44¢
- Later: home, streaming and TV
- +20¢
- Break-even worldwide
- $33.8M–$82.0M
Total cost ÷ 64¢ per box office dollar. That's 1.9–2.3× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 40% from the US and Canada, typical for a major studio.
Projection
Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($15.0M–$35.0M).
- Domestic finish
- ~$25.0M
- Worldwide finish
- ~$62.5M
Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 40%, until real international numbers come in.
Verdict: On the bubble. How verdicts work