Jimmy
Opens Nov 6, 2026
Nov 6
Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.
- Budget
- $7.0M–$16.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Opening forecast
- $2.0M–$5.0M
- Box Office Theory, Oct 23
- Domestic total forecast
- $4.0M–$12.0M
- Needs to make (est.)
- $16.7M–$47.8M
- ReelMatrix estimate
About the film
Fresh off his Oscar, Jimmy Stewart (K.J. Apa) enlists as a bomber pilot in World War II, flies twenty missions over Europe and comes home shaken, before finding his way back through It's a Wonderful Life.
Show the math
Break-even
- Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
- $7.0M–$16.0M
- Marketing (estimated for an independent distributor)
- $4.2M–$16.0M
- Total cost
- $11.2M–$32.0M
- Studio's share of each ticket dollar
- 47¢
- Later: home, streaming and TV
- +20¢
- Break-even worldwide
- $16.7M–$47.8M
Total cost ÷ 67¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.4–3.0× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 70% from the US and Canada, typical for an independent distributor.
Projection
Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($4.0M–$12.0M).
- Domestic finish
- ~$8.0M
- Worldwide finish
- ~$11.4M
Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 70%, until real international numbers come in.
Verdict: Flop. How verdicts work