November 1963
Opens Dec 4, 2026
Dec 4
Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.
- Budget
- $12.0M–$25.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Opening forecast
- $1.0M–$4.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate Small wide release from an independent distributor
- Needs to make (est.)
- $28.7M–$74.6M
- ReelMatrix estimate
About the film
The Kennedy assassination as told from inside the Chicago mob around Sam Giancana. Roland Joffé directs John Travolta, Mandy Patinkin and Robert Carlyle as Jack Ruby.
Show the math
Break-even
- Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
- $12.0M–$25.0M
- Marketing (estimated for an independent distributor)
- $7.2M–$25.0M
- Total cost
- $19.2M–$50.0M
- Studio's share of each ticket dollar
- 47¢
- Later: home, streaming and TV
- +20¢
- Break-even worldwide
- $28.7M–$74.6M
Total cost ÷ 67¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.4–3.0× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 70% from the US and Canada, typical for an independent distributor.
Projection
Before release, the projection takes the middle of its opening-weekend forecast ($2.5M) times 3.4×: 2.5× (typical for a wide release), raised for a early December release.
- Domestic finish
- ~$8.4M
- Worldwide finish
- ~$12.1M
Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 70%, until real international numbers come in.
Verdict: Bomb. How verdicts work