The Angry Birds Movie 3 box office: budget, break-even and worldwide total

Dec 23

Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.

Budget: $65.0M–$80.0M; ReelMatrix estimate
Opening forecast: $8.0M–$13.0M; ReelMatrix estimate The Angry Birds Movie 2 opened at $10.5M
Needs to make (est.): $199M–$243M; ReelMatrix estimate

About the film

Red (Jason Sudeikis) faces his toughest challenge yet: surviving fatherhood, while also saving the world.

Watch the trailer

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate): $65.0M–$80.0M
Marketing (reported): $66.0M
Total cost: $131M–$146M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar: 43¢
Later: home, streaming and TV: +20¢
Break-even worldwide: $199M–$243M

Total cost ÷ 63¢ per box office dollar, widened to 10% either side because the studio's share is an estimate too. That's 3.1–3.0× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 27% from the US and Canada, a ReelMatrix estimate (The Angry Birds Movie 2 earned 27% in the US and Canada).

Projection

Before release, the projection takes the middle of its opening-weekend forecast ($10.5M) times 5.0×: 3.1× (typical for animation), raised for a Christmas release.

Domestic finish: ~$52.1M
Worldwide finish: ~$193M

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 27%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: Flop. How verdicts work