The Gallerist
Opens Dec 4, 2026
Dec 4
Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.
- Budget
- $10.0M–$20.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate
- Opening forecast
- $2.0M–$5.0M
- ReelMatrix estimate Small wide release from an independent distributor
- Needs to make (est.)
- $23.9M–$59.7M
- ReelMatrix estimate
About the film
Broke and heartbroken at Art Basel Miami, a gallery owner (Natalie Portman) ends up with a dead body on her hands and decides to pass it off as the centerpiece of her show. With Jenna Ortega.
Show the math
Break-even
- Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
- $10.0M–$20.0M
- Marketing (estimated for an independent distributor)
- $6.0M–$20.0M
- Total cost
- $16.0M–$40.0M
- Studio's share of each ticket dollar
- 47¢
- Later: home, streaming and TV
- +20¢
- Break-even worldwide
- $23.9M–$59.7M
Total cost ÷ 67¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.4–3.0× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 70% from the US and Canada, typical for an independent distributor.
Projection
Before release, the projection takes the middle of its opening-weekend forecast ($3.5M) times 3.4×: 2.5× (typical for a wide release), raised for a early December release.
- Domestic finish
- ~$11.8M
- Worldwide finish
- ~$16.9M
Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 70%, until real international numbers come in.
Verdict: Flop. How verdicts work