The Holy Boy

Shudder

Opens Nov 27, 2026

Nov 27

Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.

Budget
$4.0M–$5.0M
Unconfirmed
Opening forecast
$20K–$100K
ReelMatrix estimate Limited release
Domestic total forecast
$100K–$400K
ReelMatrix estimate
Needs to make (est.)
$7.8M–$12.2M
Unconfirmed

About the film

A troubled teacher takes a job in Italy's 'happiest town' and finds its joy rests on a withdrawn teenager the villagers worship as an angel who takes away their pain. Italian folk horror.

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (unconfirmed)
$4.0M–$5.0M
Marketing (estimated for a limited release)
$800K–$2.5M
Total cost
$4.8M–$7.5M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar
42¢
Later: home, streaming and TV
+20¢
Break-even worldwide
$7.8M–$12.2M

Total cost ÷ 62¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.0–2.4× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 15% from the US and Canada, a ReelMatrix estimate (Italian film; most of its money comes from Italy).

Projection

Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($100K–$400K).

Domestic finish
~$250K
Worldwide finish
~$1.7M

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 15%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: Bomb. How verdicts work

Sources

Budget (unconfirmed): IMDb (about €3.9M).

Forecasts (ReelMatrix estimate): Limited release.

US/Canada share (ReelMatrix estimate): Italian film; most of its money comes from Italy.

Budgets, grosses, break-even points and profits are estimates based on publicly reported numbers. They aren't official studio financials. Verdicts are ReelMatrix's opinion. How the numbers work