Victorian Psycho box office: budget, break-even and worldwide total

Nov 13

Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.

Budget: $5.0M–$12.0M; ReelMatrix estimate
Opening forecast: $2.5M–$5.0M; Box Office Theory, Oct 23
Domestic total forecast: $5.0M–$15.0M
Needs to make (est.): $20.0M–$49.2M; ReelMatrix estimate

About the film

England, 1858: a new governess (Maika Monroe) at a gothic country house teaches the children their manners while the staff start disappearing one by one.

Watch the trailer

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate): $5.0M–$12.0M
Marketing (estimated for a specialty distributor): $8.0M–$20.0M
Total cost: $13.0M–$32.0M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar: 45¢
Later: home, streaming and TV: +20¢
Break-even worldwide: $20.0M–$49.2M

Total cost ÷ 65¢ per box office dollar. That's 4.0–4.1× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 50% from the US and Canada, typical for a specialty distributor.

Projection

Before release, the projection uses the middle of the forecast domestic total ($5.0M–$15.0M).

Domestic finish: ~$10.0M
Worldwide finish: ~$20.0M

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 50%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: On the bubble. How verdicts work