Zero A.D.

Angel Studios

Opens Dec 11, 2026

Dec 11

Opening day. Numbers start after its first weekend.

Budget
$10.0M–$25.0M
ReelMatrix estimate
Opening forecast
$5.0M–$12.0M
ReelMatrix estimate Angel Studios holiday release
Needs to make (est.)
$23.4M–$73.0M
ReelMatrix estimate

About the film

As King Herod (Jim Caviezel) panics over a star rising above Bethlehem, Mary must protect her newborn son from the slaughter that follows. A nativity thriller from Angel Studios.

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (ReelMatrix estimate)
$10.0M–$25.0M
Marketing (estimated for an independent distributor)
$6.0M–$25.0M
Total cost
$16.0M–$50.0M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar
49¢
Later: home, streaming and TV
+20¢
Break-even worldwide
$23.4M–$73.0M

Total cost ÷ 69¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.3–2.9× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 85% from the US and Canada, a ReelMatrix estimate (Angel Studios releases earn most of their money in the US and Canada (Sound of Freedom 74%, Runner 81%)).

Projection

Before release, the projection takes the middle of its opening-weekend forecast ($8.5M) times 4.0×: 2.5× (typical for a wide release), raised for a Christmas release.

Domestic finish
~$34.0M
Worldwide finish
~$40.0M

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 85%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: On the bubble. How verdicts work

Sources

Budget (ReelMatrix estimate): Angel Studios historical drama.

Forecasts (ReelMatrix estimate): Angel Studios holiday release.

US/Canada share (ReelMatrix estimate): Angel Studios releases earn most of their money in the US and Canada (Sound of Freedom 74%, Runner 81%).

Budgets, grosses, break-even points and profits are estimates based on publicly reported numbers. They aren't official studio financials. Verdicts are ReelMatrix's opinion. How the numbers work