Whalefall

20th Century Studios · Released Oct 16, 2026 · PG-13 · 1h 46m

In theaters · week 3Sunday estimates, actuals Monday

$33.6M

Worldwide total through Oct 30–Nov 1, 2026

Domestic
$16.4M
International
$17.3M
as of Oct 23–25
Budget
$60.0M
Last weekend
$1.1M
−66% from the weekend before

About the film

Diving off the California coast to find his late father's remains, Jay (Austin Abrams) is swallowed by a sperm whale, with about an hour of air and only his father's lessons to get him out.

Distance to break-even

Weekend by weekend

$7.8M
Wk 1
Wk 2
$1.1M
Wk 3
Domestic weekend gross (Friday to Sunday).
WeekendRankWeekend grossChangeTheatersPer theaterDomestic totalWorldwide total
Wk 3 Oct 30–Nov 1est.13$1.1M−66%2,000$525$16.4M–
Wk 2 Oct 23–258$3.1M−61%3,065$1,005$14.0M$31.2M
Wk 1 Oct 16–184$7.8M–3,065$2,558$7.8M–

How it stacks up

Against every film in the ReelMatrix tracker.

Opening weekend · top 10 of 34
  1. Spider-Man: Brand New Day$360M
  2. The Odyssey$124M
  3. Resident Evil$60.1M
  4. Verity$32.0M
  5. Street Fighter$30.8M
  6. Practical Magic 2$30.0M
  7. Other Mommy$27.8M
  8. Insidious: Out of the Further$25.1M
  9. Clayface$24.0M
  10. Whalefall$7.8M
Domestic total after 3 weekends · top 10 of 25
  1. Spider-Man: Brand New Day$787M
  2. The Odyssey$396M
  3. Resident Evil$125M
  4. Verity$65.9M
  5. You Can See Everything$64.7M
  6. Practical Magic 2$59.8M
  7. Insidious: Out of the Further$54.1M
  8. Street Fighter$53.0M
  9. Other Mommy$51.6M
  10. Whalefall$16.4M

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget
$60.0M
Marketing (estimated for a major studio)
$36.0M–$60.0M
Total cost
$96.0M–$120M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar
44¢
Later: home, streaming and TV
+20¢
Break-even worldwide
$149M–$186M

Total cost ÷ 64¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.5–3.1× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 45% from the US and Canada, from its reported totals.

Money in, money out

From domestic theaters
$8.2M
From international theaters
$6.9M
Home, streaming and TV (est.)
$6.7M
Minus total cost
−$96.0M–$120M
Estimated loss so far
$74.2M–$98.2M

Projection

The projection carries the film’s recent weekend-to-weekend drops forward until its run fades out.

Domestic finish
~$17.8M
Worldwide finish
~$39.8M

Verdict: Bomb. How verdicts work

Sources

Budget: The Numbers.

Budgets, grosses, break-even points and profits are estimates based on publicly reported numbers. They aren't official studio financials. Verdicts are ReelMatrix's opinion. How the numbers work