The Mongoose

Samuel Goldwyn Films · Released Oct 30, 2026 · R · 1h 36m

In theaters · week 1Sunday estimates, actuals Monday

$480K

Domestic total through Oct 30–Nov 1, 2026

Domestic
$480K
International
–
Budget
$20.0M
Unconfirmed
Opening weekend
$480K

About the film

Falsely accused, a decorated veteran (Liam Neeson) leads police on a cross-country chase, helped by old comrades and a public cheering him on.

Called it?

Our early callBomb
NowBomb

So far: called it exactly

Our call before it opened, from its budget and a $500K–$2.5M opening forecast (Small wide release from an independent distributor, ReelMatrix estimate). It gets graded when the run ends. Model stats

Distance to break-even

Weekend by weekend

WeekendRankWeekend grossChangeTheatersPer theaterDomestic totalWorldwide total
Wk 1 Oct 30–Nov 1est.–$480K–1,014$473$480K–

How it stacks up

Against every film in the ReelMatrix tracker.

Opening weekend · top 10 of 34
  1. Spider-Man: Brand New Day$360M
  2. The Odyssey$124M
  3. Resident Evil$60.1M
  4. Verity$32.0M
  5. Street Fighter$30.8M
  6. Practical Magic 2$30.0M
  7. Other Mommy$27.8M
  8. Insidious: Out of the Further$25.1M
  9. Clayface$24.0M
  10. The Mongoose$480K

Show the math

Break-even

Production budget (unconfirmed)
$20.0M
Marketing (estimated for an independent distributor)
$12.0M–$20.0M
Total cost
$32.0M–$40.0M
Studio's share of each ticket dollar
47¢
Later: home, streaming and TV
+20¢
Break-even worldwide
$47.8M–$59.7M

Total cost ÷ 67¢ per box office dollar. That's 2.4–3.0× the budget. The studio's share blends 50¢ domestic, 40¢ international and 25¢ in China, weighted by this film's mix: 70% from the US and Canada, typical for an independent distributor.

Projection

With one weekend in, the projection takes the opening weekend times 2.5×, typical for a wide release.

Domestic finish
~$1.2M

Worldwide finish = domestic finish ÷ 70%, until real international numbers come in.

Verdict: Bomb. How verdicts work

Sources

Budget (unconfirmed): Wikipedia, no outlet cited.

Forecasts (ReelMatrix estimate): Small wide release from an independent distributor.

Budgets, grosses, break-even points and profits are estimates based on publicly reported numbers. They aren't official studio financials. Verdicts are ReelMatrix's opinion. How the numbers work